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Hospitality Management: Assign Status

Advice For Determining Status

1. Follow the evidence

2. Don't let personal belief influence your decision

3. Don't soften a claim if evidence supports a stronger stance

True/False Assignment

Based on your research you will determine one of the following about your source:

True: The vast majority of people in a position to know agree to this as fact, in a way that cannot be explained purely by self-interest or bias.

Partly True: A number of subclaims are implied by the claim, the most important of which are true (as defined above) but at least one is false.

Mixed: A number of subclaims are implied by the claim, some of which are true (as defined above) and some of which are false.

Mostly False: A number of subclaims are implied by the claim, the most important of which are false (as defined above) but at least one is true.

False: There is no one who believes the claim is true

Probability Assignment

Determined by a mix of consensus opinion and argumentation:

Highly Likely: 95-997% likely

Likely: 68-95% likely

Unclear

Unlikely: 68-95% unlikely

Highly Unlikely: 95-99.7% unlikely